Toggle navigation
Blog
Challenges
Sign In
Sign Up
« Back to challenges
Superforecasting® Workshops Challenge
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
(8 months)
About
Forecast on questions generated by participants of Good Judgment's public and private Superforecasting Workshops. For more information about workshops, please see:
Superforecasting Workshops
,
Upcoming Workshops
.
Questions
Leaderboard
Activity
Filters
Status
Active
Coming Soon
Completed
Active
Pending Resolution
Resolved
Suspended
Type
all
All
Forecasting Questions
Discussion Questions
Sort By
Start Date
End Date
Number of Forecasts
Number of Forecasters
Alphabetically
Filter By
Featured Questions
Tags
Select All
No Tags
only
Non-US Politics (19)
only
Foreign Policy (16)
only
Security and Conflict (16)
only
Society (13)
only
Business (5)
only
Elections and Referenda (5)
only
Health (4)
only
Leader Entry/Exit (4)
only
Economic Indicators (3)
only
Technology (3)
only
US Politics (3)
only
Environment (1)
only
Sports (1)
only
US Policy (1)
only
Show less
Question
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Chad join the Alliance of Sahel States ("L'Alliance des États du Sahel" in French, or AES) before 1 October 2024?
Closing
Oct 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
17
·
20
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will Poland publicly announce that it has joined or is joining the European Sky Shield Initiative (ESSI) before 9 November 2024?
Closing
Nov 09, 2024 08:01AM UTC
·
28
·
82
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
What percentage of the vote will the Alliance for the Unity of Romanians (Alianța pentru Unirea Românilor, or AUR) party list win in the 2024 European Parliament (EP) elections?
Closing
Jun 09, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
17
·
48
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel (Forces) of Iran and those of Pakistan resulting in two or more fatalities before 1 January 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
65
·
134
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 August 2024, will the United States publicly announce that it has deployed regular ground armed forces to Yemen for the stated purpose of fighting Houthi forces?
Closing
Aug 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
93
·
245
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
How many seats will the Identity & Democracy Group (ID) win in the 2024 European Parliament (EP) elections?
Closing
Jun 06, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
22
·
63
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will there be a lethal confrontation between the national military forces, militia, and/or law enforcement personnel of India and the People's Republic of China before 1 January 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
93
·
246
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Before 1 July 2024, will NATO or a NATO member state publicly accuse Russia of attacking a crewed, non-Ukrainian-flagged vessel in the Black Sea outside of Ukrainian and Russian territorial waters?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
114
·
409
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
When will NATO and/or a NATO member state publicly accuse Republic of Serbia national military forces and/or law enforcement of either entering Kosovo without authorization or firing a weapon or weapons into Kosovo?
Closing
Jul 01, 2024 07:01AM UTC
·
67
·
245
Private
Superforecasting Workshop
asks:
Will France publicly announce that it will resume providing official development assistance (ODA) to Mali before 1 January 2025?
Closing
Jan 01, 2025 08:01AM UTC
·
39
·
107
1
2
Next ›
Last »
Files
Remove
Tip: Mention someone by typing @username
Publish Anonymously
Cancel